TY - BOOK AU - Alnababteh, Muhtadi AU - Alunikummannil, Jojo AU - Hashmi, Muhammad Daniyal AU - Oweis, Emil S AU - Shorr, Andrew F AU - Vedantam, Karthik TI - Assessing the need for transfer to the intensive care unit for Coronavirus-19 disease: Epidemiology and risk factors SN - 0954-6111 PY - 2020/// KW - *Intensive Care Units/sn [Statistics & Numerical Data] KW - *Patient Transfer/og [Organization & Administration] KW - Comorbidity KW - Female KW - Ferritins/bl [Blood] KW - Hospitalization KW - Humans KW - Lymphocyte Count/mt [Methods] KW - Male KW - Middle Aged KW - Pandemics/sn [Statistics & Numerical Data] KW - Research Design/sn [Statistics & Numerical Data] KW - Research Design/st [Standards] KW - Respiratory Insufficiency/ep [Epidemiology] KW - Respiratory Insufficiency/et [Etiology] KW - Retrospective Studies KW - Risk Assessment KW - Risk Factors KW - Time Factors KW - MedStar Washington Hospital Center KW - Medicine/General Internal Medicine KW - Medicine/Pulmonary-Critical Care KW - Journal Article N2 - BACKGROUND: Although many patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) require direct admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), some are sent after admission. Clinicians require an understanding of this phenomenon and various risk stratification approaches for recognizing these subjects; CONCLUSION: Covid-19 patients admitted to general wards face a significant risk for deterioration necessitating ICU admission and respiratory failure can occur late in this disease. Neither baseline clinical factors nor the CURB-65 score perform well as screening tests to categorize these subjects as likely to progress to ICU care. Copyright (c) 2020. Published by Elsevier Ltd; METHODS: We examined all Covid-19 patients sent initially to a ward who subsequently required care in the ICU. We examined the timing transfer and attempted to develop a risk score based on baseline variables to predict progressive disease. We evaluated the utility of the CURB-65 score at identifying the need for ICU transfer; RESULTS: The cohort included 245 subjects (mean age 59.0 +/- 14.2 years, 61.2% male) and 20% were eventually sent to the ICU. The median time to transfer was 2.5 days. Approximately 1/3rd of patients were not moved until day 4 or later and the main reason for transfer (79.2%) was worsening respiratory failure. A baseline absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) of <=0.8 103/ml and a serum ferritin >=1000 ng/ml were independently associated with ICU transfer. Co-morbid illnesses did not correlate with eventual ICU care. Neither a risk score based on a low ALC and/or high ferritin nor the CURB-65 score performed well at predicting need for transfer UR - https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rmed.2020.106203 UR - https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rmed.2020.106203 ER -